Three Basic Principles your Company needs to follow to prevent Payments Fraud

| 20-01-2021 | TIS |

Even the best tech solutions may not help you prevent and detect fraud, if your basic security procedures are insufficient. Based on our experience helping world leading brands set up proper controls against payments fraud, we believe that payment security is a much broader topic than just fraud. Therefore, payment fraud prevention or detection can only be a meaningful exercise when it is an integral part of a company’s overall payment security strategy.

 

Fraudsters come up with new ideas to scam companies all the time. As digitalization transforms the way payments are being made, the risk for cybercrime also increases. Recently, companies have become prey to business email compromise attacks (BEC): Someone will impersonate a high-level manager and tell an employee that due to extraordinary circumstances they need to make a payment right then and there. As the name suggests, this is usually done via email, but fraudsters have become more creative. In some instances, a voice imitation software was used to convincingly fake a manager’s voice on the phone. Because of nefarious scams like this, it is important to raise awareness for security and fraud prevention among your employees.

 

However, fraud is not always an external threat. Often, fraud happens within a company. For big companies it can be a struggle to keep track of all payments that are made across their worldwide subsidiaries – especially, if they are made manually. Unfortunately, fraudulent payments made by employees are usually detected afterwards – if they are detected at all.

It is therefore important to build a payments security strategy that works on all levels. But what does that mean? Where should a company begin?

A good start is to make sure that you have a system where each step of a payment process is visible and well-documented. Remember: Transparency and visibility are the enemies of fraud. You should always have control of all your payments. Standardization of payment processes and workflows is one step closer to better visibility and control. This way, fraud can be stopped before it has even happened. The following three basic principles can lay the groundwork:

1. Segregation of duties

This is a no-brainer. When responsibilities are shared, people can keep an eye on each other. Ideally, every critical payments’ process should involve multiple people or even multiple departments. Suspicious transactions are spotted at once.

2. A single payments’ gateway

Even if your payments are not fully centralized, it is very helpful to have a single payments’ gate. Combined with value-added services such as validation, multi-step authorization and routing, payments can be managed end-to-end. Additionally, centralized data visibility supports internal controls and audit compliance and the monitoring of transactions becomes much easier.

3. Appropriate designation of signature authority

Multi-level approval processes need clearly defined designation of signature authorities. Make sure that your workflows are sufficient and flexible enough to accommodate your company’s needs.

The TIS corporate payments platform has designed many enablers and features for its cloud-based platform to support payment security.  You can standardize and automate your payments processes, enforce segregation of duties, and manage signature authorities from wherever you are.

 

About TIS

TIS (Treasury Intelligence Solutions GmbH), founded in Walldorf, Germany in 2010, is a global leader in managing corporate payments. The Financial Times named TIS as one of “Europe’s Fastest Growing Companies” for 2019 and 2020. Offered as Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), the TIS solution is a comprehensive, highly-scalable, cloud platform for company-wide payments and cash management. The TIS solution has been successfully used for many years in both large and medium-sized companies, including Adecco Group, Hugo Boss, Fresenius, Fugro, Lanxess, OSRAM and QIAGEN. More than 25% of DAX companies are already TIS customers.

 

 

Making a Successful Transformation to SAP S/4HANA

19-01-2021 | treasuryXL | Kyriba |

SAP S/4HANA is SAP’s next-generation enterprise resource planning (ERP) system for large businesses. Many organizations that are currently using the SAP business suite are looking to upgrade to the new solution, often as part of a wider digital transformation.

As a digital core, S/4HANA is the link between the key business functions within an organization, including finance, marketing, manufacturing, procurement and sales. As well as connecting to the SAP ecosystem, it can connect to other cloud-based systems. It harnesses intelligent technologies such as artificial intelligence, machine learning and the internet of things to automate operations, and it connects data, devices and people in real-time.

S/4HANA enables digital transformation in several ways. It reduces an organization’s overall costs, drives business innovation, supports transformation projects and frees up the IT budget for investment in emerging technologies. Yet, while there is a strong business case in favor of S/4HANA, companies often struggle to identify which functionality they need from the platform, and when and how they should migrate.

Why Migrate Now?

Digital transformation is accelerating all the time and S/4HANA is “mission-critical” for digital transformation, explained Promantus’ director and head of Europe, Vikash Roy Chowdhury, during a recent webinar hosted by SAPinsider and sponsored by Kyriba. He added that as S/4HANA optimizes an organization’s digital transformation strategy, “it provides identity, visibility and innovation”.

There are many reasons why organizations should begin their migration to S/4HANA now:

  1. To take advantage of the digital economy and be quicker at getting new products and solutions to market.
     As digital transformation continues to gather pace, business processes will be further automated and new data flows will emerge, enabling organizations to gain better insights, improve their decision-making and foster business innovation.
  2. To avoid falling behind in the digital transformation journey.
    SAP will continue to provide standard support for its on-premise ERP system, ERP Central Component (ECC), until 2027. On the face of it, this commitment may seem a reason for organizations not to migrate to S/4HANA, but there are risks associated with continuing with a platform that has been earmarked for retirement. One risk is that organizations will get a poor return on investment in terms of their technological spend. Another is that they are overtaken by rivals that use S/4HANA’s state-of-the-art functionality to run their businesses more efficiently.
  3. To save money.
    The cost of implementing S/4HANA, and migrating to the platform, is likely to increase substantially over the next few years, as more and more businesses compete to secure resources that can support them with transformation.

The Challenges of an ERP Transformation

Migration to S/4HANA can present some significant challenges to businesses. Typically, the biggest challenge is resolving data issues. Other challenges include a lack of qualified resources, integration of legacy systems, accommodation of custom coding, and understanding the impact of S/4HANA on processes, especially where functionality has changed.

And treasuries have specific requirements in relation to an S/4HANA migration. They want bank connectivity and the integration of their global banks inside the S/4HANA infrastructure. They also want to see accelerated time-to-value (the rate at which the business benefits from the migration) so that they can free up resources from routine work to focus on more strategic activities, such as helping their organization to navigate the Covid-19 pandemic.

Unfortunately, bank connectivity can be one of the most difficult aspects of migration to S/4HANA, or any other ERP for that matter. It can take months – or even years – to achieve. “A lot of times… what keeps these ERP projects from going live is still waiting for the banks,” says Steven Otwell, director of payments at Kyriba.

For this reason, Kyriba is strategically collaborating with Promantus to support migration to S/4HANA from a treasury perspective.

Support for Treasuries

Fortunately, automation can ease the migration process. Promantus has developed a comprehensive S/4HANA transformation tool called ProAcc, which quickly and seamlessly automates all the migration phases, including assessment, pre-conversion, post-conversion and validation.

ProAcc provides a detailed assessment report that includes tailored recommendations for optimization and alternative scenarios, based on the current state. It also offers a single-view dashboard that gives full visibility around the migration process, from discovery to go-live. Furthermore, it acts as a single repository for the sequence of automated activities that take place, including prediction, monitoring, data snapshots, data integrity, configuration checks, and reconciliation.

The speed of migration will depend on an organization’s business and technological requirements, current SAP environment, and data quality and quantity, among other considerations.

Organizations that use ProAcc to support their S/4HANA migration benefit from:

  • Swift, secure and cost-effective implementation
  • Minimal interruptions to critical business processes
  • A tailor-made approach
  • Sequentially automated processes
  • Comprehensive support

“At Promantus and Kyriba, our entire focus is to bring the highest value to corporations in the shortest possible time, and at the lowest cost,” said Johnny Daugaard, vice president of client engagement at Promantus.

Kyriba’s service-based solution includes:

  • Connectivity as a Service.
    Bolt-on bank connectivity for SAP enables organizations to connect with thousands of banks and achieve time savings in excess of 80%. Kyriba has more than 550 active, configured and tested bank solutions for plug and play ERP connectivity. It also monitors bank connection 24/7 on behalf of its clients, with connection managed in different ways including FTP, host-to-host, regional protocols and SWIFT. Kyriba is the largest SWIFT for Corporates service bureau globally, managing more than 20% of SWIFT’s corporate business. As Kyriba’s service is fully outsourced, organizations do not need to employ internal resources to support bank connectivity, which reduces their overheads.
  • Customized Payment Fraud Management.
    This solution uses detection rules, coupled with machine learning, to detect anomalies in an organization’s flow of data from its SAP system to its banks. These anomalies could be possible payment frauds.
  • Payment Format Library.
    Kyriba’s library contains over 45,000 pre-developed and bank-tested payment format scenarios, which are shared across all Kyriba clients. This saves organizations from having to develop their own payment formats for their S/4HANA platform, which can be complicated, expensive and time-consuming – especially when an organization works with a large number of banks. Kyriba simply takes a single payment file from the organization’s ERP and interprets it. It then transforms the file, based on the approved format requirements of the individual banks.
  • Global bank monitoring.
    All incoming and outcoming bank files are monitored, relieving the IT team of the burden of having to work out whether files have been processed. Effectively, an organization’s banking support is fully outsourced to Kyriba.

Conclusion 

Today, organizations are having to react with agility to the challenges posed by Covid-19. Digital transformation is key both to their present survival and their future success – and for many large organizations, this transformation will be underpinned by migration to S/4HANA. Treasury and IT should be closely involved with this migration and carefully consider solutions that enable them to meet their objectives without consuming valuable resources.

 

Cash Management review – Fitting like a glove

| 18-01-2021 | Bas Meijer |

Can you remember when your current Cash Management structure has been set up? Probably at a point in time when there was a refinance, additional funding need or when a new treasurer came on board. The world is changing, your clients and their behavior are changing, therefore probably your Cash Management environment needs changing.

Unfortunately these changes are not automatically translated and implemented into your Cash Management setup. And as not every bank is the same, some banks cannot provide the Cash Management setup your corporate needs.

Reflecting the Cash Management needs every 3-5 years is a good habit. Solutions are evolving, banks are changing their focus & pricing can be renegotiated. But the most important goal is that the Cash Management setup should fit your corporate like a glove, not too big, an certainly not too small.

TreasuryXL has multiple experienced Treasures with up-to-date knowledge and experience, who can help your organisation to achieve these  goals. Maybe your corporate is ready to take the next step, or your Cash Management infra structure is outdated. Is there need for automation, independent banking portal, TMS or market data provider?

From experience this review brings a contribution to the bottom line. But not only in money, also in speed and accuracy. With new tooling your current choices can be reviewed in time, which helps you to make the next steps down the road. The Treasury Department is never static, and should always adapt to the changing environment. Make sure that your Treasury function, how big or small, fits like a glove to the needs of the corporate!

 

Bas Meijer

Treasury Specialist

 

 

 

 

 

Zelfstandig Treasury Adviseur Non-Profit gezocht (Dutch)

15-01-2021 | Treasurer Search | treasuryXL

Zonder uitputtend te willen zijn omvat het takenpakket van de treasury adviseur de volgende aspecten:

  • Opbouwen en onderhouden van relaties met bestaande en nieuwe klanten;
  • Verzamelen en analyseren van (niet-)financiële informatie, specifiek aangaande balans, financiering en bijbehorend renterisico profiel;
  • Opstellen en presenteren van adviezen aangaande financieringen en het afdekken van renterisico’s;
  • Voortdurend volgen van de voor de klantgroep relevante financiële markten en wet- & regelgeving. Proactief en op aanvraag deze expertise delen met opdrachtgevers en in diverse gremia;
  • Actief bijdragen aan de groei en professionalisering van de onderneming, inhoudelijk, commercieel en organisatorisch.

Profiel ideale Treasury Adviseur Non-Profit

De ideale treasury adviseur heeft een afgeronde academische opleiding en een relevante expertise in financieringen en renterisico’s. Zij heeft een up-to-date netwerk en haar consultancy vaardigheden zijn bewezen. Zij kan haar expertise hebben opgedaan in een non-profit organisatie (overheid, zorg, woningcorporatie, onderwijs, etc.), bij een consultancy organisatie of een bank. Essentieel is dat zij, aantoonbaar, succesvol kan zijn in een kleinere organisatie. Haar prioriteiten moeten aansluiten bij die van onze opdrachtgever, hetgeen zichtbaar is in integriteit, oprechte interesse en natuurlijke nieuwsgierigheid.

Onze opdrachtgever

Onze opdrachtgever weet zich al decennialang te onderscheiden van andere treasury adviseurs door zich volledig te richten op de non-profit sector, door inhoudelijke expertise en een bij de klantengroep & vakgebied passende bedrijfscultuur. In dialoog wordt de relatie gelegd tussen de doelen en ambities van opdrachtgevers en hun financiële structuur. Steekwoorden die horen bij hun cultuur zijn integriteit, lange termijn relaties, oprechte interesse, brede en diepe expertise. De organisatie maakt een gestage groei door en investeert gericht in organisatieverbetering. Consultants zijn inhoudelijk gedreven professionals die op collegiale wijze samenwerken, er is geen voelbare hiërarchie.

Arbeidsvoorwaarden & Proces

Onze opdrachtgever biedt een passend arbeidsvoorwaardenpakket. Onze opdrachtgever groeit graag verder maar doet geen concessies aan kwaliteit: de lat ligt hoog. Expertise, persoonlijkheid en netwerk van de kandidaat moeten goed zijn.

Contact person

Pieter de Kiewit
T: (0850) 866 798
M: (06) 1111 9783
E: [email protected]

 

APPLY HERE

 

COVID-19 vaccine rollout: how might it impact global currencies?

14-01-2021 | treasuryXL | XE |

As 2020 drew to a close, news broke of multiple vaccinations for the COVID-19 virus, and each nation began discussing its plan for distributing the vaccine.

At this time, we are still in the early stages of the vaccine rollout, and many nations around the world are still in the process of vaccinating their highest-priority individuals and preparing for the eventual larger-scale distribution.

As some start to dream about a return to life outside of lockdowns and social distancing, others are wondering what the news of the vaccinations—and their eventual distribution—could mean for major global currencies and economies.

Has anything recently impacted the US dollar?

Several recent happenings have led to an impact on the USD.

First, the dollar may see a very short term sentiment impacted by Donald Trump’s removal from office. President elect Joe Biden has stated that he will announce an economic plan on Thursday, 14 January, to navigate through the COVID-19 pandemic and an eventual reopening. While the specifics of this plan are not known at this time, we do know that this plan will be worth “trillions” of dollars and will entail massive infrastructure spend.

Recent minutes from the Fed have shown us that the US Central Bank quantitative easing (QE), and that interest rates will continue to be low for the foreseeable future.

Finally, U.S. treasury Yields recently rose to 10 month highs.

What does this mean for the dollar?

The above events resulted in an end to the recent weaker dollar. Instead, the dollar has been strengthening against its major trading counter parties.

How are other currencies being impacted by the vaccine roll out?

The sooner a nation can widely distribute immunizations, achieve herd immunity and therefore see its economy back and open for business, the better it will be for their economy and currency.

It is currently estimated that once 70-90% of the population has been vaccinated, the sooner lock down restrictions and the “handbrake” on the economy can be released. Because of this, markets are tracking the current vaccine numbers and the planned numbers in the weeks and months ahead as an indicator of which economies will bounce back and which currencies will strengthen first.

Currently, the US dollar and the British pound are poised to see positive change. As of January 8, 2021, the United States ranks 4th in the list of vaccination doses per country, with 2.02 doses administered per 100 people in the population. The United Kingdom ranks 6th, with 1.94 doses per 100 members of the population as of January 3, 2021.

On the other hand, as a result of Europe’s comparatively slow start to the vaccine roll-out, the Euro currently appears to be in a vulnerable position.

What can you do?

If the past year has demonstrated anything, it’s that one can never predict what may happen. The most important thing that you can do is ensure that you’re prepared for market volatility and market motion in all directions.

 

Get in touch with XE.com

About XE.com

XE can help safeguard your profit margins and improve cashflow through quantifying the FX risk you face and implementing unique strategies to mitigate it. XE Business Solutions provides a comprehensive range of currency services and products to help businesses access competitive rates with greater control.

Deciding when to make an international payment and at what rate can be critical. XE Business Solutions work with businesses to protect bottom-line from exchange rate fluctuations, while the currency experts and risk management specialists act as eyes and ears in the market to protect your profits from the world’s volatile currency markets.

Your company money is safe with XE, their NASDAQ listed parent company, Euronet Worldwide Inc., has a multi billion-dollar market capitalization, and an investment grade credit rating. With offices in the UK, Canada, Europe, APAC and North America they have a truly global coverage.

Are you curious to know more about XE?
Maurits Houthoff, senior business development manager at XE.com, is always in for a cup of coffee, mail or call to provide you detailed information.

 

 

Visit XE.com

Visit XE partner page

 

 

 

The future of trading: The rise of data analytics in trading

11-01-2021 | treasuryXL | Refinitiv |

 

Redefining data: What is your strategy?

With more information available than ever, traders must find the right data, make sense of it, and ultimately take action.

 

 

With more information available than ever, traders must find the right data, make sense of it, and ultimately take action. Unstructured information, the explosion of alternative data, and the need for trusted sources makes an already daunting task even more complex.

 

In our second report with Greenwich Associates on the trading desk of the future we explore the data that will keep markets moving over the next 3-5 years. With an overwhelming 85% of those surveyed planning to increase spending on data management, the value of financial data is clearly increasing.

Alternative data tops the list of most important data types, but is only useful if traders trust the source. When it comes to issues of scale and trust, 41% of those surveyed will rely on large financial markets data aggregators. Finally, analytics to interpret existing, new and unstructured data are becoming as critical as finding the data itself.

 

The bottom line? Everyone needs a data strategy.

 

Download & Acces full report

 

 

How FX Providers Can Help Prepare You for Market Motion

07-01-2021 | treasuryXL | XE |

Currency market moves caught you off-guard? You’re not alone. By working with a knowledgeable FX provider, you can minimize the effects on your business.

Woman looking at financial graphs

No matter when you check, the currency markets are constantly moving. Currency values are subject to drastic change seemingly at the drop of a hat.

Volatility in the financial markets isn’t random; changes in currency values are a direct result of real-world factors. Examples of the real-world events that can lead to increases and decreases in currency values include:

  • Natural disasters

  • Recessions

  • Inflation

  • Interest rates

  • Political happenings

It’s not uncommon for the markets to have slower periods of muted volatility, low interest rates, and steady returns in equity markets. But on the other hand, drastic changes can strike seemingly out of nowhere.

Volatility in the markets can have powerful, tangible impacts on businesses around the world. Corporate finance departments, treasury groups, CFOs, and business owners will be the ones left to face the consequences.

What could this mean for your business? Volatility in the markets can potentially:

  • Raise import costs

  • Reduce export sales margins

  • Make your product less competitive

  • Possibly disrupt your business plans for 2020 and beyond.

Manage FX risk with Xe

Your corporation doesn’t need to wait until the markets have already started moving to take action. FX volatility is a risk you can manage, and comprehensive FX risk management measures can help your organization to reduce the impacts of market volatility and account for future shifts in the market.

Many organizations lack FX risk management programs. Some feel that FX risk isn’t a major risk to their organization, while others lack the expertise or resources to implement the effective measures that their organization needs. Partnering with a knowledgeable FX provider can help your organization to manage its currency risk.

At Xe, we have been operating in the currency business for over 25 years as a knowledgeable authority. We have extensive knowledge of the markets and comprehensive product offerings including FX risk management tools to to help you and your corporation manage your currency risk with expert, tailored solutions.

 

Get in touch with XE.com

About XE.com

XE can help safeguard your profit margins and improve cashflow through quantifying the FX risk you face and implementing unique strategies to mitigate it. XE Business Solutions provides a comprehensive range of currency services and products to help businesses access competitive rates with greater control.

Deciding when to make an international payment and at what rate can be critical. XE Business Solutions work with businesses to protect bottom-line from exchange rate fluctuations, while the currency experts and risk management specialists act as eyes and ears in the market to protect your profits from the world’s volatile currency markets.

Your company money is safe with XE, their NASDAQ listed parent company, Euronet Worldwide Inc., has a multi billion-dollar market capitalization, and an investment grade credit rating. With offices in the UK, Canada, Europe, APAC and North America they have a truly global coverage.

Are you curious to know more about XE?
Maurits Houthoff, senior business development manager at XE.com, is always in for a cup of coffee, mail or call to provide you detailed information.

 

 

Visit XE.com

Visit XE partner page

 

 

 

Executive Briefing: The Next Gen Architecture for a Digital Treasury

07-01-2021 | TIS |

 

Read TIS’ new executive briefing “The Next Gen Architecture for a Digital Treasury”
and find out how to digitalize treasury with a best-of-breed ecosystem!

 

Leverage the expertise of multiple specialists with seamless API integration and cloud technology. Find out more about:

  1. Advantages of specialist vendors compared to All-in-One solutions for treasury
  2. How seamless data flow through API integration can deliver better user experience and faciliate strategic business decisions
  3. How to set up a best-of-breed solution that is tailored to your company’s treasury needs and future growth

About TIS

TIS (Treasury Intelligence Solutions GmbH), founded in Walldorf, Germany in 2010, is a global leader in managing corporate payments. The Financial Times named TIS as one of “Europe’s Fastest Growing Companies” for 2019 and 2020. Offered as Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), the TIS solution is a comprehensive, highly-scalable, cloud platform for company-wide payments and cash management. The TIS solution has been successfully used for many years in both large and medium-sized companies, including Adecco Group, Hugo Boss, Fresenius, Fugro, Lanxess, OSRAM and QIAGEN. More than 25% of DAX companies are already TIS customers.

www.tis.biz

The difference between the price of petrol at the gas station and the price of oil in the market (Dutch Item)

06-01-2021 | Erna Erkens | treasuryXL |

 

Weet u waarom er een verschil zit in de benzineprijs aan de pomp en de olieprijs in de markt? Hoe staan die met elkaar in verhouding?

 

  1. Hierboven de opbouw van de benzine-, diesel- en LPG prijzen en hun samenstelling.
    Dit zijn adviesprijzen. Die betaal je eigenlijk alleen langs de grote weg.Hieruit blijkt dat de inkoop van de diverse onderdelen maar een beperkt deel uitmaakt van de prijs door de accijns en de BTW. Blijft bij mij toch nog de vraag hangen waardoor prijsstijgingen altijd sneller te zien zijn aan de pomp dan prijsdalingen? Een totaal antwoord heb ik bij mijn zoektocht niet gevonden. Wel wat er nog meer van invloed is behalve de accijns en BTW toevoeging.
  2. Tussen de winning van de ruwe olie en de verkoop van de benzine aan de pomp zitten verschillende stadia van productie. Ruwe olie bestaat uit verschillende onderdelen met elk zijn eigen productie- en handelsstadia. Alle verschillende onderdelen zullen op hun eigen manier deze prijsverandering moeten verwerken en daar kan dus een verschil in tempo en prijs ontstaan.
  3. Benzine wordt in meer producten gebruikt dan alleen maar als brandstof in auto’s. Als de vraag groter wordt van bijv. de chemische industrie kan dit ook een opdrijvend effect hebben op de benzine aan de pomp. Groeiende vraag bij gelijk aanbod is hogere prijs! Dalende vraag bij gelijk aanbod is een dalende prijs. In die situatie zitten we op dit moment.
  4. De ingekochte olie wordt vaak gekocht op de termijnmarkt. Dit betekent nu een vaste prijs maar levering over een paar weken of paar maanden. Dus de benzine in de pomp vandaag is olie die al maanden geleden is aangekocht. Dus zit er ook tijd tussen de prijsaanpassing aan de pomp en de prijsstijging of daling van de actuele olieprijs. Op deze termijnmarkten wisselen partijen (scheepsladingen olie) soms wel 8 keer van eigenaar voordat er sprake is van daadwerkelijke aflevering van de olie. Dagelijks wordt gemiddeld 20 x de opgepompte hoeveelheid olie verhandeld.
  5. Er wordt voor de olieprijzen vaak gekeken naar WTI olie (voor de VS in mijn overzicht) en de Brent (voor Europa). Dit zijn eigenlijk vrij kleine olievelden en deze prijzen dienen als een benchmark (gemiddelde) voor de olie.De prijzen van de olie van andere velden kan best afwijken van deze benchmark. Soms zit er wel 10% verschil tussen. Dit hangt weer af van land / voor wie de olie is en of de olie makkelijk te delven is.
  6. De koers van de EUR/USD. Of een vat olie USD 30 kost met een koers van 1.15 = EUR 26.09 of USD 30 met een koers van 1.05 = EUR 28.57Dat maakt 9.5%  uit. Verder zijn er ook nog andere risico’s (transport, economisch, politiek) die afgedekt moeten of kunnen worden. Dit kan ook een onderdeel van de prijs zijn.
  7. Prijzen van benzinestations in de omgeving. Als je iets lager zit qua prijs en je verkoopt meer dan heb je toch een betere dag!
  8. Transportkosten. Het hangt ervan af waar de olie vandaan komt en waar hij naar toe moet!

Zo zie je maar dat de olieprijs wel belangrijk is voor onze benzineprijs, maar dat er nog heel veel dingen van invloed zijn op onze benzineprijs. En een stijging van de olieprijs wordt gek genoeg altijd sneller ingeprijsd, dan de daling. Maar die extra centen zijn dan voor de pomphouder en die verdienen er maar mondjesmaat aan. Er is toch iets geks aan de hand. In de vorige crisis was de olieprijs hoger dan nu maar de benzineprijs lager dan nu. Dat werd niet gecompenseerd door het koersverschil. Zo blijven er altijd bijzondere verschillen.




Erna Erkens
Owner at EEVA
Bron

Digital Treasury: Can it Tackle the Cash Forecasting Challenge?

01-05-2021 | Cashforce | treasuryXL |

Several decades ago, Excel was invented to process/model inputs and generate outputs. Today, it is still by far the most used technology to generate a cash flow forecast. However, as we strive to achieve better forecasting accuracy rates, our desire for automation and the seamless processing of FX hedges, liquidity borrowings and deposits have underlined the need for more effective modelling and increasingly powerful data processing.

The good news is that we’re at the forefront of that digital treasury revolution, or so-called ‘Treasury 4.0’. This means:

  • Leaving the manual-driven Excel jungle behind us and adopting an automated, data-driven forecasting process
  • Automating decision-making based on logic (rules that are within corporate policies), which will drive our liquidity and FX hedge usage

THE CASH FLOW FORECASTING CHALLENGE

Last year, multiple treasury surveys from sources including the Association for Financial Professionals, the UK Association of Corporate Treasurers, PwC and Citi, concluded that cash flow forecasting remains the primary challenge for treasurers today.

What are the headaches behind the process? Why is it so difficult for a corporate treasurer to generate an accurate cash flow forecast? And do we currently have the opportunity to solve this challenge?

The cash flow forecasting challenge consists of multiple underlying process complexities. The aim is to create an accurate cash flow forecast that helps us to make optimal FX and liquidity decisions.

What is accurate? You could write a book about cash forecast accuracy, since accuracy levels are totally different when comparing forecasts between different industries, time horizons, cash flow categories etc. When we forecast with a time horizon of five years, the accuracy levels are, of course, nowhere near as precise as when we forecast something just a few days in advance – and more reliable data is available. Depending on the goal, the treasurer will need a specific form of accuracy.

In addition, cash flow forecast data, together with the forecast assumptions/used models, need to come together in a well-coordinated process. Other challenges lie behind this process, including a disconnect between different data sources/systems such as enterprise resource planning (ERP) and treasury management systems.

Furthermore, there are myriad data-related issues to contend with including: concerns regarding data quality inside these multiple systems; the sheer volume of data to be processed; the need for granular and/or high-level data; and whether reliable external data can be found to be used to further improve the model.

Finally, aligning and coordinating forecasting assumptions between the different company departments is a time-consuming exercise. Imagine pulling all these assumptions from both HQ and local levels into an Excel model. No easy task.

 

FIG 1: THE CASH FLOW FORECASTING CHALLENGE

Fig 1: The cash flow forecasting challenge

SO, WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Solving the cash flow forecasting challenge is easier said than done. Nevertheless, today treasurers can leverage several available technologies that, if used together intelligently, can tackle the described challenges head-on.

First, when we think about the goals and the accuracy levels that treasurers want to achieve, we can use different models to calculate those, such as accuracy heatmaps. Second, when we consider the data (ERP and non-ERP) required to run these cash flow forecasts, we can rely on big data engines, advanced extract, transform and load (ETL) processes, and application programming interface- (API) and non-API-based connectors that create an easy data flow into forecasting models. We have ways to analyse data quality as never before and we can set up a reliable work flow process to obtain assumptions from the decentralised business units all the way up to HQ level. This generates a cash flow forecast while keeping the granular detail.

Third – and we are only scratching the surface here – several machine learning models and algorithms are now at our disposal. These can be used to build and optimise cash flow forecasting models, so we can indeed solve the forecasting challenge in a reliable way.

Finally, armed with the right tools, the salient question is: what can we actually do with the cash forecast? We call it Cash Flow Forecasting 3.0: automating the decisions that are based upon the cash forecast (investing excess liquidity, performing a particular hedge, etc.) or the so-called post-forecasting decision-making engine.

By combining technologies we can not only automate manual and repetitive tasks, but effectively integrate the systemic data with human expertise and algorithmic trends from historic data. Add to this the use of recommendation engines and intelligent insights, and the interplay of data inputs can generate enriched decision support. Apparent visualisations and scenario analyses can offer a clear view of actionable results that treasury and management can use in their decision process. Reliable technology that enables people to make high-caliber decisions; this, we believe, is the true power of digital.

 

 

About Cashforce        

Cashforce is a Cash Forecasting & Working Capital Analytics platform for corporates, focused on analytics, automation and integration. Cashforce connects the Treasury department with other finance / business departments by offering full transparency into its cash flow drivers, accurate & automated cash flow forecasting and treasury reporting. The platform is unique in its category because of the seamless integration with numerous ERPs & banking systems, the ability to drill down to transaction level details, and the intelligent AI-based simulation engine that enables multiple cash flow scenarios, forecasts & impact analysis.