Tag Archive for: treasury management

Managing treasury risk: Operational Risk (Part VII)

| 21-3-2017 | Lionel Pavey |

 

There are lots of discussions concerning risk, but let us start by trying to define what we mean by risk. In my last article on how to manage treasury risk I will write something about operational risk. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) defines this as “the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems or from external events.  If you want to read my earlier articles on managing the different treasury risks please refer to the complete list at the end of today’s article.

 

Whilst this is the last article in this series, it is actually – potentially – the most significant risk that a company can face, as there are many different ways that a loss could occur, together with the fact that when it happens the amount lost can be very large. Even if the size of the loss could be considered small, there is always the threat of reputation risk which, once identified, is very difficult to erase from the memory.

While it is possible to insure against rogue trading for a company (the risk present in the Treasury function can be quantified and qualified) it is very rare that damage is caused by just one individual – a financial version of the lone wolf theory. Operational risks tend to be interlinked – a fraudulent payment could be initiated by human involvement (either as fraud or human error) and facilitated by weak processes together with insecure technological systems.

There are 2 main areas of operational risk within treasury for a company

  1. Internal
  2. External

There are 3 main categories of operational risk within treasury for a company:

  1. Computer System, Information Technology
  2. Theft and Fraud
  3. Unauthorised Activity

Computer System, Information Technology

A lack of robustness and deficiencies in the technology and systems contribute to circumstances for failures, errors, data losses, corruption and fraud. Internally considerable care and attention should be given to the protocol for Static Data. This encompasses all the relevant reference data for a counterparty and should be subject to at least an input and verification procedure before entering the computer system. Changes to Static Data have to be recorded, together with the proper paper trail and authorization matrix. Externally the risks relate mainly to illegal entry (hacking), together with the complete theft of data.

Theft and Fraud

Both internally and externally main areas include:

  • Theft – both physical and electronic
  • Extortion
  • Embezzlement
  • Forgery
  • Misappropriation
  • Willful destruction
  • Bribes
  • Kickbacks
  • Insider Trading

Unauthorised Activity

From the Treasury point of view, this is an internal activity and mainly relates to 2 types of transactions – unauthorized by transaction and or type; transactions that are not captured in the system and reported. These can lead to monetary losses (though a gain is possible – at the price of an operational risk), together with loss of reputation.
The last category clearly shows where the biggest risk occurs within a company – at the human level. Generally speaking, these are caused by incompetence, lack of knowledge, misuse of power or compulsion to act caused by external factors – extortion.
It is clear therefore that whilst the electronic systems employed by a company can be a liability if not properly programmed or safeguarded, even here, most of the errors can be traced by to human intervention.

So why are the human risks so often underestimated? Naturally a company wishes to have the feeling that its staff can be trusted (within reason). After all, the company felt that the staff were the right people to employ. It is not my intention to formulate the reasoning and thinking of people who perform illegal acts. However certain areas that can be considered include how staff are treated; the demand placed on them; the rewards given; the levels of transparency and inequity within the company; a closed-off attitude (problems in one department are kept within that department and not discussed throughout the company); the role model set by owners, directors and managers; loss of personnel, reduction in morale; disinterested and unmotivated staff.

 Solutions

An effective framework of operational risk management needs to be designed and implemented within the business. This requires input and commitment from all departments within the company, meeting one agreed standard and not being shaped to every individual department’s wishes. The framework has to run and meet the requirements for all different strategies within the company.

I wish to finish with 2 examples of operational risk to illustrate how large they can be.

In 1995 the world’s second oldest merchant bank (Barings Bank) collapsed due to the actions of a rogue trader. Corruption and a lack of internal control led to a loss of GBP 827 million.

Around the same time I was employed as an international money broker working in the interbank market and travelled every day from The Hague to Amsterdam via train. As I knew the route off by heart, I read all the time – magazines, papers, books – anything. I purchased a book called “The Cuckoo’s Egg” as it seemed interesting and would pass the time away sitting on the train.
The synopsis told me that an unreconciled accounting discrepancy of just 75 cents would lead to a world of computer espionage and spies. I highly recommend reading the book to understand how a simple error can grow to show the dangers of ignoring operational risks. If you like acronyms then you will enjoy reading about the FBI, CIA, NSA and KGB – all hacked via a UNIX server at a laboratory linked to the University of California.The story is true and threatened national security.

Trust people – but do not place temptation in their way.

Lionel Pavey

 

 

Lionel Pavey

Cash Management and Treasury Specialist

 

 

More articles of this series:

Managing treasury risk: Risk management

Managing treasury risk: Interest rate risk 

Managing treasury risk: Foreign exchange risk

Managing treasury risk: Commodity Risk

Managing treasury risk: Credit Risk

Managing treasury risk: Liquidity risk

Reach your potential customers via treasuryXL

| 20-3-2017 | treasuryXL |

Already one year treasuryXL is online and we are proud to say that we have seen our  website grow from an unknown newcomer to a well-established information platform for treasurers, bankers, financial professionals, CFO teams, educators and everyone who likes treasury.

Our expert team has grown from a few members to more than 30 treasury and finance professionals and we were able to present a new article every workday in the past eleven months. In the meantime the treasury community knows to find us – more than a  thousand unique visitors per month read our articles, vacancies and information about education, seminars and events. And the number is growing.

This has not passed unnoticed in the treasury industry and we are proud to say that a growing number of companies has decided to work together with us as a sponsoring partner to promote their own products and services. Imagine that you look for a software to streamline your treasury department, improve payment processes, look for education for your treasury team or maybe need a new group treasurer for your company? How about checking the company profiles of TIS, Cashforce, Treasury Services, Treasurer Search on treasuryXL and find a new solution right there?

And what if your own products and services need to get more attention in the treasury industry?
Why not consider our Partner Launching Package and promote your company a whole year long?

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Managing treasury risk: Liquidity Risk (VI)

|13-3-2017 | Lionel Pavey |

There are lots of discussions concerning risk, but let us start by trying to define what we mean by risk. In today’s article I will focus on liquidity risk. Many companies have very significant credit needs and this needs to be formally addressed with a credit analysis procedure in place. In my former articles I dealt with risk management, interest rate risk, foreign exchange risk, commodity risk and credit risk. See the complete list at the end of today’s article.

Liquidity risk comes in 2 distinct forms – market liquidity risk and funding liquidity risk.

Market Liquidity Risk

This relates to assets and potential illiquidity in the market and, as such, can be considered a market risk. In a normal functioning market it is always possible for market participants (buyers, sellers, market makers and speculators) to find each other and negotiate a price for their transactions. Assuming that the transaction is of a normal market size, there should be no dramatic change to the price of the asset after the transaction.

At the time of a crisis, participants could be absent from the market, making it difficult – if not impossible – to trade an asset. Sellers are left frustrated as there are no opportunities to sell the asset they are holding and vice versa for buyers. This can occur due to a financial crisis, changes in legislature, scarcity of an asset or someone attempting to corner the market. An asset generally will have a value, but if there are no buyers in the market that value can not be realised.

Liquidity risk is not the same as falling prices – after all prices are free to rise or fall. If an asset was priced at zero then it means that the market considers its value to be nothing. This is different from trying to sell an asset but not being able to find a buyer.

Markets for Foreign Exchange, Stocks, Shares, Bonds and many Futures and other derivatives are generally highly liquid. Off balance sheet products related to physical settlement can be less liquid as there is a need to actually provide physical settlement. Bespoke products like CDO’s can be considered illiquid as their size is normally small (relatively speaking) and not freely tradeable. Also the complexity needed to value the product affects its liquidity.

Housing is an asset class with very low liquidity – sometimes a property could be sold as soon as it hits the market. At other times the same property could be available for sale for many years and the price reduced regularly, without attracting a firm buyer.
The easiest and quickest way to see if there is a heightened market liquidity risk is via the bid – offer spread. If this is suddenly seen widening, this would imply that there appears to be more risk. In a normal, liquid market, the spreads are fairly constant and small, allowing participants to easily step in and transact. A widening of spreads occurs in a normal market when government data is published – nonfarm payrolls, balance of payment, etc. Within a short time the market will return to a normal spread as the information is properly digested and the market makers return. However, if the spreads widen without a publication event taking place, it is reasonable to assume that the risk has increased.
Additionally, risk could grow if reserve requirements were increased. In markets such as Futures, it is necessary to pay margin to the exchange. If these margin payments were increased, this would lead to transactions being more expensive and so lead to less liquidity in the market.

Market makers can also observe the market depth. This is shown by the quantity available for transacting at a particular price in their order books. When a market is perceived as being deep, it means there are many orders and, therefore, a large number of orders would be needed to move the market price significantly. The deeper the market, the more liquid the market.

Funding Liquidity Risk

This relates to the risk of not being able to settle debts when they are due. Treasury specialists in a corporate environment are acutely concerned with funding risk. Every month wages must be paid, together with tax and social premiums (pensions, insurance etc.) Additionally, it would be advantageous to pay trade creditors on time. Future liabilities also have to be funded after they have been recognized. This could mean arranging external financing.

If there is a liquidity crisis in the market, it becomes difficult and expensive to arrange to borrow the necessary funds. The price may be so high that the intended profit provided by selling the goods, is negated by the increased cost of funding. A reduction in the credit rating of a company can also lead to increased costs and a reluctance to lend.
If a company is known to have problems making payments, then the liquidity risk is specific to the company – the rest of the market will function normally.

Funding risk can also occur if creditors fail to pay you, or if an unforeseen event has occurred that leads to an outflow of cash from the company.
A company can initially perform a quick spot check to ascertain its current ratio. This shows if a company can meet its current liabilities with its current assets. A ratio of less than 1 would imply that the company can not meet all its obligations at the same time. However, this could also be because there is no short term finance arranged at that moment.
It is possible to arrange a line of credit with a financial provider. He defines a maximum loan (line of credit) that can be extended which the company may utilize. While it is normal to pay a standing charge for the balance of the line that is not being used, this can be offset by the knowledge that it is possible to drawdown against the line when needed (in normal circumstances). There is greater flexibility with a line of credit than with a traditional bank loan.

Other methods include –

i)                    Sell assets like stock that are slow moving and tying down cash

ii)                   Analyse all overheads – office equipment, expense claims

iii)                 Increase efficiency in the debtors’ administration. Be proactive

iv)                 Renegotiate with suppliers – better that you talk to them before it is too late

v)                  Design contingency plans

vi)                 Subject your business to stress testing

vii)               Apply the techniques of ALM (asset and liability management)

 

Some very well known companies have fallen to liquidity problems – Bear Sterns, Lehman Brothers, Northern Rock, ABN Amro, AIG, etc. While the risks were prevalent before the crises, the main liquidity problems occurred when it was determined that there was no more time allowed for the situation to remain.
Time is the soul of business.

Lionel Pavey

 

Lionel Pavey

Cash Management and Treasury Specialist 

 

 

 

More articles of this series:

Managing treasury risk: Risk management

Managing treasury risk: Interest rate risk 

Managing treasury risk: Foreign exchange risk

Managing treasury risk: Commodity Risk

Managing treasury risk: Credit Risk

TMS Buyer’s Guide from AFP: a short summary

| 1-3-2017 | treasuryXL |

The latest TMS Buyer’s guide of the Association for Financial Professionals (AFP) has been published in 2016, but contains enough interesting information to look at it and make a short summary. With the buyer’s guide AFP wants to offer its members a closer look at treasury technology today. Some of the top TMS vendors in the (global) marketplace were asked to share their view on what treasury departments were looking for in a system—or how such a system should look like. It is a growing market and there are many options to choose from. The questions is, how a treasury professional can judge if the TMS he is considering or currently uses is the one best suited to his needs? According to AFP the TMS Guide will help practitioners to answer that question by giving a list of TMS suppliers and describe the latest technologies and trends. As a treasury professional who also is responsible for a smooth treasury proces within your company you want to be sure that you are getting the most for your money.

The content of the Guide is divided in two parts: a list of TMS suppliers where they describe shortly their products and services and a TMS functionality matrix, which lines out specific TMS functionalities and which company from the list supplies which services or products for the different functionalities.

The list in the guide is one of worldwide suppliers.  Most likely AFP has not the intention to offer a complete list and it is obvious that you will find local suppliers in the different markets.

These are the companies in the guide:

  • ION
  • Orbit
  • Axletree
  • Bellin
  • Bloomberg
  • Chatham Financial
  • Expertus
  • Financial Sciences Corporation
  • GTreasury
  • Hanse Orga Group
  • Kyriba
  • OpenLink
  • Reval
  • Strategic Treasurer
  • Treasury Xpress

For our readers we will focus on some companies that operate in the European/Benelux market.

Bellin

Bellin (in the Benelux represented by Enigma) has successfully launched over 15,000 companies on their tm5 Treasury Management system, leading the industry in project success rates. This has given a certain perspective on some of the less thought about aspects of TMS implementation, especially when it comes to cash management. They focus on three factors they think people do not pay enough attention to when implementing their TMS, and how these factors can improve the cash positioning, forecasting and risk management:

  • Don’t automate, do streamline
  • Get your subsidiaries involved in cash forecasting early, so you can use their data.
  • When it comes to risk management, start with real data, and use specific analysis to establish where you have weaknesses

Bellin states that implementing the TMS system is only  the beginning and that more challenges come along while you are on the way. Read more.

Kyriba

Kyriba is the global leader in cloud treasury solutions. Kyriba delivers award-winning, secure, modular and scalable SaaS treasury solutions with integrated bank connectivity, payments, and risk management. They developed a cloud treasury management solution that is delivered on a single platform. Kyriba’s Treasury Cloud is used by more than 1,300 clients globally to protect against payments fraud and cybercrime, while proactively managing market volatility, onerous compliance requirements, and creating opportunities to fund new growth. Kyriba’s Cash and Liquidity capabilities include Cash Positioning, Cash Forecasting, Advanced Forecasting, Variance Analysis, Liquidity Forecasting, In-House Banking, and Multi-Lateral Netting. Clients also benefit from full accounting, GL posting, and Bank-tobook reconciliation workflows. The Cash and Liquidity modules are supported by the Kyriba Connectivity Hub and Data Exchange. With Kyriba’s Payment Management suite, clients can initiate, approve and release payments to any of their banks globally. Kyriba also supports payment factories, including multiple routing options to integrate all corporate payment workflows in a centralized payment hub. Read more

Hanse Orga

Hanse Orga is a global provider of specialized financial software for CFOs, treasurers and financial professionals seeking the perfect solution for their individual requirements. Their FS² software family is fully embedded within the SAP landscape so that companies capitalize on existing technology investments and profit from seamless finance processes. Over 1,000 customers in more than 50 countries worldwide have already profited from their systems and consulting.
With their SAP-embedded software family FS² and specialized consulting they help customers worldwide to achieve best results for their finance processes. FS² works with SAP S/4HANA Finance as well as previous SAP systems such as HANA and ECC! Corporates benefit from future-proof functions, a modern user experience and flexible report settings – on any device, anytime and anywhere! Whether the software is installed on premise, in the cloud or as a hybrid solution, the software supports fully audit-proof processes.
FS² is available for these areas: Cash, Liquidity and Treasury Management, Accounts Payable, Accounts Receivable, Bank Account Management and Working Capital Management. Read more

Reval

Reval is a global provider of a scalable cloud platform for Treasury and Risk Management (TRM). Their cloud-based offerings enable enterprises to better manage cash, liquidity and financial risk, and to account for and report on complex financial instruments and hedging activities. The scope and timeliness of the data and analytics they provide allow chief financial officers, treasurers and finance managers to operate more confidently in an increasingly complex and volatile global business environment. With offerings built on the Reval CONTACT Cloud Platform companies can optimize treasury and risk management activities across the enterprise for greater operational efficiency, security, control and compliance. They offer Reval Core ™ for mid-market treasuries and Reval Choice™ for  organizations faced with
complex treasury and risk challenges. Read more

Treasury matrix in the TMS buyer’s guide

The TMS functionality matrix lists (all) the companies in the guide for the following functionalities:

  • Foreign Exchange
  • Debit Interest rate products
  • Derivatives
  • Electronic Dealing
  • Balance & transaction management
  • Bank account management
  • Reconciliation
  • Forecasting
  • Confirmation
  • Accounting
  • Reporting
  • Security
  • Target company size
  • Implementation

For more information on the details of the functionality matrix follow this link.

Source: TMS Buyer’s Guide 2016, AFP

We believe that the functionality matrix offers very valuable information for treasurers and finance professionals who have to make choices for the implementation of a system.

Some other TMS suppliers in Europe/The Benelux not mentioned in the Guide

It goes without saying that in the Benelux/Europe you will find other suppliers, let me mention just a few – Aaron, Integrity, IT2, Trinity (Wieltec), Global$ WallStreet and Treasury Services.

As an example Treasury Services BV creates a competitive advantage for their clients through the implementation of innovative solutions. They offer a complete treasury management software, treasury training and education, financial engineering solutions and consultancy.

De controller in een veranderende omgeving: Budgetteren als hulpmiddel bij cashmanagement

| 28-2-2017 | Olivier Werlingshoff | FM.nl |

 

Op de website FM.nl vonden wij een artikel van Theo van Houten ( 21 februari 2017) die wij graag met jullie willen delen.
Hij schrijft: ‘Zijn de methoden en technieken die controllers tijdens hun studie leerden nog wel relevant nu organisaties in een omgeving werken die inmiddels veel dynamischer en complexer is?’ Het artikel is een onderdeel van een serie en richt de focus op cash managment.

 

Cash Management

Theo van Houten schrijft dat cashmanagement gaat over alle activiteiten die verband houden met de optimalisatie van de kasstromen tussen de organisatie en haar stakeholders, zoals bijvoorbeeld klanten, leveranciers, werknemers en financiers. Een goed kasbeheer is voor een organisatie vaak van doorslaggevend belang. Dat komt mede door de hoge kosten die verbonden zijn aan het aanhouden van liquide middelen en het afwikkelen van ontvangsten en betalingen.

Maar de belangrijkste reden voor een goed cashmanagement is het voorkomen van een faillissement. Het CBS doet jaarlijks onderzoek naar de oorzaken van een faillissement. Daartoe onderzoekt zij gerechtelijke vonnissen om het eerder uitgesproken faillissement te beëindigen, omdat er bijvoorbeeld door de curator een akkoord met de schuldeisers is bereikt of omdat er een gebrek aan baten is. De rechter baseert zich bij die uitspraak op het verslag van de curator die de oorzaak van het faillissement heeft vastgesteld. In december 2016 publiceerde het CBS de cijfers over 2015. In dat jaar werden van 7.602 rechtspersonen (exclusief eenmanszaken) het faillissement beëindigd. Die organisaties waren door de volgende oorzaken failliet gegaan;

De belangrijkste oorzaken zijn dus:

  • Economische oorzaken. Denk hierbij aan toegenomen concurrentie, smaakveranderingen bij het publiek en veranderende economische omstandigheden (al dan niet in het buitenland).
  • Mismanagement, waarbij gedacht moet worden aan administratieve problemen, gebrekkig debiteurenbeheer, te hoge of te lage financiering en marketingmissers.
  • Overig. In deze categorie vallen zaken als een kredietstop en dubieuze/frauduleuze handelingen

Volgens The van Houten maakt het overzicht duidelijk dat in verreweg de meeste gevallen de oorzaken direct (krediet-stop, oninbare debiteuren, te lage financiering) of indirect (tegenvallende afzet, administratieve missers, hoge financieringslasten) de liquiditeit van de organisatie aantasten. Het gevolg daarvan is, dat er bijvoorbeeld niet meer kan worden ingekocht op rekening, personeel niet meer betaald kan worden of de te betalen belasting verschuldigd blijft. Een faillissement is dan vaak onafwendbaar.

Budgetteren als hulpmiddel bij cashmanagement

Een van de belangrijkste planningsinstrumenten waar een controller volgens The van Houten mee werkt is het budget. Budgetten zijn taakstellende begrotingen, dus aan financiële grenzen gebonden plannen van actie. Er zijn belangrijke redenen om te budgetteren. Vaak genoemd worden: kostenbeheersing, het verhogen van de slagkracht, coördinatie en communicatie, prestatiemeting en de bijdrage die ze leveren aan het voorspellen van de financiële resultaten van de organisatie.
Ook op het gebied van cashmanagement kunnen budgetten een belangrijke bijdrage leveren. Dat gebeurt via het zogenaamde masterbudget. Hiermee wordt een samenhangend geheel van alle deelbudgetten bedoeld, dat resulteert in een begrote eindbalans, begrote resultatenrekening én een liquiditeitsbegroting.
Om dat masterbudget op te stellen, begint de controller om in samenspraak met degenen die er zicht op hebben (de verkoopafdeling, bijvoorbeeld) een inschatting te maken van de te verwachten omzet voor komend jaar en meestal wordt dat nader gespecificeerd in verkopen per kwartaal, maand of week. Zodra dat bekend is, kan bepaald worden wat er elke periode geproduceerd moet worden, waarbij rekening gehouden wordt met beschikbare en gewenste voorraden eindproducten. Daarna kunnen de inkopen gebudgetteerd worden die noodzakelijk zijn om te kunnen produceren, waarbij ook hier rekening gehouden wordt met beschikbare en gewenste voorraden grondstof.

In veel organisaties start het budgetteringsproces in het najaar met het opstellen van een begroting, waarna voor het einde van het jaar de budgetten van komend jaar worden bepaald die vervolgens vaak een heel jaar ongewijzigd blijven. Deze budgetten zijn niet zelden ook het uitgangspunt waarop het cashmanagement is gebaseerd. De economische omstandigheden veranderen tegenwoordig echter zo snel, dat de budgetten veel minder houvast geven. Dat heeft grote gevolgen voor de mogelijkheid om aan betalingsverplichtingen te voldoen. Gaat het immers plotseling slechter, dan neemt de omzet af en dat heeft al snel veel minder ontvangsten tot gevolg. Als daar qua uitgaven niet op geanticipeerd wordt, ontstaan mogelijk onoverkomelijke betalingsproblemen. Maar ook als het economisch ineens veel beter gaat, dan zijn er potentiële risico’s rond de liquiditeit. De extra inkopen en de eventueel extra personeelsleden die ingezet moeten worden, dienen vaak veel eerder betaald te worden dan het moment waarop de extra ontvangsten worden geïncasseerd.

Taken controller

Theo van Houten : ‘Het bovenstaande maakt budgetteren geen zinloze exercitie voor cashmanagement, integendeel. Nog steeds spelen ze een belangrijke rol bij het inschatten van toekomstige ontvangsten en uitgaven. In mijn vorige column gaf ik echter al aan dat de hoogte en samenstelling van planningsinstrumenten als budgetten beduidend vaker moet worden herzien dan in veel organisaties nu het geval is.
Hiervoor dient de controller veel dichter op de business te zitten en te begrijpen hoe de bedrijfsprocessen werken, zodat de gevolgen voor de geldstromen van veranderingen veel beter en sneller ingeschat kunnen worden. Dat maakt het namelijk mogelijk om te anticiperen en tijdig, voordat de problemen ontstaan, maatregelen te nemen, zoals het uitstellen of vervroegen van investeringen, het maken van afspraken over betaaltermijnen met klanten en leveranciers of het regelen van extra kredietfaciliteiten. Kortom, de controller heeft hier een spilfunctie. Om die goed uit te voeren is het noodzakelijk dat hij of zij in de gesprekken met budgethouders de te verwachten ontvangsten en uitgaven steeds aan de orde stelt.’

De hele serie artikelen kunt u lezen op FM.nl

Theo van Houten is hoofddocent management accounting en onderzoeker bij het lectoraat Financial control aan de hogeschool van Arnhem en Nijmegen. Tevens is hij onder meer (mede-)auteur van de boeken ‘Financial control van projecten’ en ‘Bedrijfseconomie in de praktijk’.

 

Zo ver het artikel van Theo van Houten. Wij hebben onze expert Olivier Werlingshoff gevraagd om zijn eigen inzichten hierover met ons te delen. Zijn antwoord:
‘Ik ben het helemaal eens met wat er in het artikel word aangegeven.Wat ik tot nu toe echter heb gemerkt is dat (financial) controllers vaak naar de organisatie kijken vanuit de boekhouding en niet zozeer vanuit geldstromen. Business controllers kijken daarentegen weer meer naar de organisatie-processen. Het zou goed zijn als er ook meer gericht wordt gekeken naar de geldstromen en hoe deze kunnen worden ingeschat en zelfs kunnen worden geoptimaliseerd. Een voorbeeld hiervan is om te kijken naar de cashmanagement mogelijkheden die er bestaan om gelden sneller binnen de organisatie op de gewenste plek te krijgen.
In wat complexere organisaties zou de functie van het opvolgen van de diverse processen met een cash bril beter kunnen worden opgepakt door een toegewijde cashmanager. Een cashmanager is vaak beter dan een controller op de hoogte van de mogelijkheden die er in de markt bestaan om cashstromen te optimaliseren en te beheersen. Een goed combinatie en samenwerking tussen een controller en een cashmanager is naar mijn mening de oplossing om de financiële processen goed in beeld te krijgen, budgetten op te stellen en acties op te zetten om indien nodig bij te sturen.’

Olivier Werlingshoff - editor treasuryXL

 

Olivier Werlingshoff

Managing Consultant at Proferus

 

Flex Treasurer: The life of an interim treasurer

| 16-2-2017 | Patrick Kunz |

 

An interim treasurer is just like a normal treasurer. The difference is that he has a flexible contract and changes “jobs” more often. Assignments can be to replace the existing treasurer due to leave or sickness. This means that he gets to take an operational role and be part of the normal organization, often until a “permanent” solution is found. I did several of these roles, which often last between 3-6 months and 1 year.

 

Treasury Support

Another option is to provide support to an existing team/treasurer/CFO on a treasury related project. These can be short term or longer projects. Often the projects cannot be filled with the existing capacity of the team and hiring a permanent FTE for this is not an option. Another reason can be to finish the project quicker due to nearing deadlines. These projects are often several weeks to a couple of months. For example I helped a big semi-profit organization from Rotterdam to investigate into embedded derivatives in the firm to comply with new regulation. The project was finished in several weeks and the accountant accepted my conclusions in the annual report. Also I build a RAROC model for one client to periodically rank their banks based on return versus risk adjusted capital. A powerful tool to compare banks and their profitability compared to their lending.

Treasury Expert

An interim/flex treasurer does not have to be a fulltime position. At big corporates and multinationals this is often the case but smaller firms often don’t have fulltime treasurers. Sometimes the controller or the CFO fulfills the treasury position “parttime”. A part time (external) treasurer could potentially add value here. The controller/CFO has extra time for his “normal” activities and an expert is hired for the treasury task. This can be from a couple of hours a day to several days. For example I helped a real estate company with the valuation and (weekly) margin calls on their interest rate derivative portfolio, their cash management optimalisation, treasury reporting and ad hoc work. 8 hours a week.

Treasury Scan

Are you not sure if treasury is optimal at your company? A treasury scan might be a solution. A ‘quick and dirty’ scan is possible in 1 day if treasury data is collected beforehand. The costs of a treasury scan are therefore limited and often earned back from treasury savings which were identified by the scan and later realized by either the flex treasurer or the company itself; often in combination.

Do you recognize one the above situations? Do you want to know more about an (interim) Flex Treasurer?
Please click on this link or visit my expert page on treasuryXL.

 

Patrick Kunz

Treasury, Finance & Risk Consultant/ Owner Pecunia Treasury & Finance BV & Flex Treasurer

 

 

Managing Treasury Risk – Foreign Exchange Risk (Part III)

| 7-2-2017 | Lionel Pavey |

 

There are lots of discussions concerning risk, but let us start by trying to define what we mean by risk. In my third article I will focus on foreign exchange risk. This risk has to be taken into consideration when a financial commitment is denominated in a currency other than the base currency of a company.
There are 4 types of foreign exchange risk.

Transaction Risk

Transaction risk occurs when future cash flows are denominated in other currencies. This refers to both payables and receivables.  Adverse changes in foreign exchange prices can lead to a fall in profit, or even a loss.

Translation Risk

Translation risk occurs when accounting translation for asset and liabilities in financial statements are reported. When consolidating from an operating currency into a reporting currency (overseas offices etc.) the value of assets, liabilities and profits are translated back to the reporting currency. Translation risk does not affect a company’s cash flows, but adverse changes can affect a company’s earnings and value.

Economic Risk

Economic risk occurs when changes in foreign exchange rates can leave a company at a disadvantage in comparison to competitors. This can affect competitive advantage and market share. Future cash flows from investments are also exposed to economic risk.

Contingent Risk

Contingent risk occurs when potential future work is expressed in a foreign currency. An example would be taking part in a tender for work in another country where the pricing is also in a foreign currency. If a company won a large foreign tender, which results in an immediate down payment being received, the value of that money would be subject to transaction risk. There is a timeframe between submitting a tender and knowing if the tender has been won, where a company has contingent exposure.

Identifying Foreign Exchange Risk

  1. What risk does a company face and how can it be measured
  2. What hedging or rate management policy should a company use
  3. What financial product, available in the market, should be best used
  4. Does the risk relate to operational cash flows or financial cash flows

Initially we need to ascertain what we think future FX rates will be. Methods that can be used include the Forward Rate Parity, the International Fisher Effect which also includes expected inflation, forecasts provider by banks and international forums, along with VaR. Model analysis can be provided, among others, via fundamental factors, technical analysis, and political analysis.

Different FX rates can then be used to simulate the effects on cash transactions when converted back into the base currency. This will provide different results that will allow a company to determine what level of risk it is prepared to accept. Finally a decision must be taken as to whether the company wishes to hedge its exposure or not. Before the advent of the Euro, both the Netherlands and Germany  were members of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). This meant there was agreed band within which the spot rate could move around an agreed central point – this was NLG 112.673 equal to DEM 100.00 with a bandwidth of +- 2.25%. For some companies, this tight band meant that they took the decision not to hedge any exposure between DEM and NLG.

Financial products that are commonly used to manage foreign exchange risk include Forward Exchange contracts, Futures, Caps, Floors, Collars, Options, Currency Swaps and Money Market hedging.

Lionel Pavey

 

 

Lionel Pavey

Cash Management and Treasury Specialist

 

 

More articles of this series:

Managing treasury risk: Risk management

Managing treasury risk: Interest rate risk 

Blockchain and Central banks: a Tour de Table (Part I)

| 27-1-2017 | Carlo de Meijer | treasuryXL |


Our expert Carlo de Meijer, distinguished blockchain specialist, has published an article that is worth sharing with you. This is Part I and Part II will follow soon. May we invite you to comment or share your experience with this intriguing topic:

In April last year I wrote a blog on blockchain and monetary policy. In this blog I went into a number of still unanswered questions posed by the European Central Bank around blockchain technology. There was a big uncertainty about the impact of this technology on the future role of central bank money and on monetary policy.

 

While at that time many financial institutions and startups already paid a lot of attention to this technology, only a handful of central banks were interested in blockchain with the most vocal being the Bank of England. Since than a lot has changed with a growing number of central banks around the globe starting to recognise the potential for blockchain to help them in obtaining their key objectives: stable financial system and efficient financial markets. In the first part of this blog I will try to answer why there is nowadays so much interest amongst central banks in blockchain technology, what are the main benefits and what are remaining concerns. In the second part a Tour de Table will be given, looking at the various initiatives of the central banks.

Central banks are experimenting with blockchain

Several central banks are or have been experimenting with different versions of blockchain-backed systems. A growing number are questioning the point of creating digital currencies, such as the Danes. But they are not alone. Also the central banks of Sweden, Japan, China and Russia have launched similar efforts. Others such as the central bank of Singapore and Canada have already tested blockchain-based currency systems for internet payments, while also the Reserve Bank of South Africa has expressed their optimism towards the blockchain technology and its potential impact on finance. The European Central Bank recently announced a new research undertaking in partnership with the Bank of Japan. Earlier last month the US Federal Reserve released its first major research paper on blockchain.

Why is there so much interest?

But why are so many central banks now embracing blockchain, seriously exploring their potential.

The turning point was a three-day event in Washington , hosted by the World Bank, the IMF and the US Federal Reserve where representatives from more than 90 central banks worldwide expressed broad interest “in how the technology might impact both the banks they regulate as well as their own regulatory practices”.

Central banks’ interest in deploying a blockchain “comes in step” with moves by the big banks to use the technology to ease cross-border settlement transactions and overhaul antiquated back-office infrastructure. Experiments by banks with distributed ledgers as a way to settle trades and record data and transactions, have clearly shown its potential to reduce costs and increase the efficiency of its operations. The distributed ledger and its potential to simplify the record keeping, tracking and accounting process makes it hard to ignore by central banks.

Central banks and public stances: some quotes

Over the course of the past half year many central banks representatives have taken a public stance on their potential use of distributed ledgers and digital currencies. Here follow some of the most interesting quotes.

 “Innovation using these technologies could be extremely helpful and bring benefits to society. The technology has the potential to transform multiple aspects of the financial system” Janet L. Yellen, Chairwomen Federal reserve

 “We are paying close attention to distributed ledger technology, or blockchain recognizing this may represent the most significant development in many years in payments, clearing and settlement” Lael Brainard, Federal Reserve Board

Other interesting quotes include:

“The conditions are ripe for digital currencies, which can reduce operating costs, increase efficiency and enable a wide range of new applications” People’s bank of China

“A state-sponsored digital currency is still on the agenda, and if adopted, the technology could deliver a range of benefits” Russian central bank

 “The technology could be worth using for central banks because it would make for a financial system that does not go down even if the central bank’s computer systems are temporarily taken offline” Mark Carney Bank of England

What are the potential benefits for central banks?

Central banks are now exploring the potential of blockchain and distributed ledger technology. As banks experiments have shown blockchain networks may lead to safer and better payments and securities systems..

  • Make money more easily traceable

The inherent property of immutability and transparency associated with blockchain makes it easier for the central banks to trace the money that is in circulation. It would allow them to track every euro, pounds, dollar or renminbi on every step through the financial system in real-time.

  • Build single shared record

Central banks are also interested in blockchain technology as a way to build a single, shared record of all transactions among several institutions. The central banks hope they can use the decentralised method of record-keeping to complete and record transactions in the real economy more effectively, quickly and transparently. The creation of a standardised way of recording transactions would allow all the players in the system to communicate more seamlessly. That could leave much less money sitting idle while banks reconcile their different ledgers, as now happens.

  • Simplify the settlement process

It has also the potential to create efficiency. Blockchain or the distributed ledger technology has the potential to simplify the settlement chain around securities transactions. The resulting cost reductions, speed of settlement and enhanced transparency may all contribute to more efficient and safer payments and capital markets.

  • Reduce transmission costs

It may also drastically reduce the transmission costs and time associated with cross border transfers, by enabling instant transfers between branches both within and outside the country.

  • Reduce operating costs

The use of blockchain-based digital fiat currency will reduce the amount of banknotes and coins that are in circulation. This will, in turn, reduce the operating costs associated with printing and distribution of currency notes by the central bank.

  • Fight money laundering

The wide spread implementation of blockchain based fiat currency will also help the central banks (and government’s) fight money laundering while eliminating the issue of counterfeiting.

  • Other advantages

The blockchain technology provides a tool to measure leverage in the system and counterparty exposure, and can monitor compliance in real time. It can also answer questions about collateral ownership.

A blockchain could untangle the spaghetti structure of central swap bank lines, which would improve crisis response capabilities.

  • Reach the unbanked

Digital currencies may eventually benefit the developing world too. Because they are low-cost and easy to use on electronic devices, digital currencies may enable greater access to financial services for the billions of the world’s unbanked.

  • Stable financial system

This all should make the financial system more transparent, fast, efficient and secure. According to a Bank of England research paper produced last year, the economic benefits of issuing a digital currency on a distributed ledger could add as much as 3 percent to a country’s economic output, thanks to the efficiency it could offer.

 Remaining concerns

There are however still a range of questions and all sorts of security and regulatory concerns where central banks will need answers for before blockchain technologies are to become a key part of the future central banking landscape.

Questions such as: How may it impact monetary policy?; What are the implications of issuance of central bank digital money?; What is the impact on physical cash?; How would it impact on central bank seigniorage?; What are the implications for the integration of the European capital market?; and What is the impact on exiting projects such as T2S?

In previous blogs I already tackled some of these issues. See: “Could blockchain bring the EU Capital Market Union forward?” November 6, 2016; “Blockchain: What about T2S?” June 30, 2016; and, “Blockchain and Monetary Policy” April 29, 2016.

There are also a number of concerns that are already highlighted, such as assurance around scalability, data integrity, resilience and resistance to cyber-attack. A big concern is regulation of digital currencies. This is a looming challenge that will require cross-border co-operation. Monetary authorities must come together to start thinking about the necessary regulation of digital money that will be flowing around the world.

See my blog: “Blockchain and Regulation: do not stifle innovation!” April 4, 2016.

When can we expect central bank-operated digital currencies?

When a move to official digital currencies might occur is hard to estimate. Central bank-operated digital currencies could be ‘decades away’ according to the more pessimistic (or realistic?). But what is sure is that it will take a number of years before any central bank issues its own currency onto a live distributed ledger. Research is still at an early stage and many puzzles still have to be worked out.

It has become clear that central banks are set to take a much more active role in the development of blockchain technology. But how active that will be is not yet clear. The Fed’s preference at this stage is still to take a fairly hands-off approach and allow banks take lead the way – “as long as they remain within defined guidelines and best practices”. A switch could happen within the next 5 to 10 years. When large parts of the financial system are using blockchain for financial transactions, so will central banks!

 

Carlo de Meijer

Economist and researcher

 

Managing treasury risk : Risk Management (Part I)

| 23-1-2017 | Lionel Pavey |

 

There are lots of discussions concerning risk, but let us start by trying to define what we mean by risk.
It is a negative event that can potentially lead to loss or liability; it is exposure to uncertainty; it is a deviation from the expected outcome. It can be caused by people, changes in the law, products used in day-to-day activity to facilitate the business. Risk is not an uncertainty – it is a “known unknown”

 

 

Risk arises in every activity of a company and, therefore, a procedure of risk assessment has to be determined within a company and controls implemented. We can conclude that a risk management policy is a crucial part of the risk management function. The policy provides a framework – and details the framework – for decision making, whilst adhering to the company’s agreed viewpoint on risk.

Risk Management

A risk management policy can be very extensive as it relates to all risks faced by a company – we shall only focus on the risk relating to treasury operations. Treasury risk policy should be developed by the Treasury department, together with management, and approved by the board of directors. Once approved and implemented, the policy should be regularly reviewed and amended to ensure that it effectively meets the changing risks as the company advances.

Core criteria

The core criteria for undertaking the policy include:

  1. Providing a framework (matrix) for financial decision making
  2. Defining a policy for identifying and controlling risk
  3. Confirmation of the objectives and restrictions set by the board of directors and management
  4. Safeguarding the interests of stakeholders
  5. Enabling the reporting and measurement of treasury risk to the board of directors and management

Strategic components

Strategic components related to the policy include:

  1. Objectives
  2. Standards of care
  3. Authority and Responsibility
  4. Requirements for third party providers
  5. Types of transactions
  6. Constraints on transactions
  7. Reporting
  8. Policy review process
  9. Benchmarking

Major treasury related risks that shall be discussed in my next articles include:

  • Interest rate risk
  • Foreign Exchange risk
  • Commodity risk
  • Credit risk
  • Operational risk
  • Liquidity risk

A search through Google will show more risks, but we are attempting to show and discuss the main types of risk in treasury operations.

In the rest of the series, we shall elaborate on the above 6 major treasury related risk categories.

“Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing” – Warren Buffett

Lionel Pavey

 

 

Lionel Pavey

Cash Management and Treasury Specialist

 

 

More articles from this author:

Safety of Payments

The treasurer and data

The impact of negative interest rates

How long can interest rates stay so low?

Treasury : proposed “to do” list for 2017

| 12-1-2017 | François de Witte |

building At the start of the year, we all look at our “to do” list for 2017. I would suggest for the corporates to focus on following topics:

1. Working capital management:

This will remain a hot topic throughout the year. The priority is to improve the financial structure by optimising the Order to Cash and Purchase to Pay cycle as well as the inventory management. A second priority is to improve the cash flow forecasting, both on the short term, to be able to improve your funding costs or the investment of the excess liquidity, and on the longer term, to improve your financial decisions. I will come back later this year on this topic.

2. Risk Management:

The general expectation is that the markets will remain volatile. In Europe, we have major elections in France, Germany, and the Netherlands. Internationally we also face uncertainties, with the impact of the new national and international policy of President Trump.

Hence, I would recommend to have an increased focus on your interest and forex risk management. You need to ensure more in particular that you have a good overall view on your forex risk, and how to manage it.

3. Technology as an enable for automation and improved controls:

The use of new technologies brings an opportunity to automate manual processes. Several solution providers have come up with smart cloud based solutions. These enable to reduce time consuming manual processes, to reduce errors and to achieve a consistency of approach, as well as greater security compared to manual processes. The increased presence of Fintech providers will enable to put in place customised solution at a lower cost. The upcoming Blockchain technology might also generate new opportunities in this area. For more information on this last point, please see: https://www.treasuryxl.com/news-articles/blockchain-what-happened-during-my-stay-in-south-africa-part-iii/ of Carlo de Meijer.

Focus areas are the automation of the order to cash process (e-invoicing, credit management), of the Purchase to Pay processes (automated match incoming invoices with the purchase orders, etc.), the incoming and outgoing payment processes, and the risk management. Automation can also help to improve the internal controls. It will enable to free time, enabling you to focus on more strategic areas, such as risk management and fraud prevention.

4. Negative interest rates:

If you are in a net debt position, the negative interest rate environment will bring you some tailwind. The opportunity is to use your cash to repay your bank debt.
However, if you are in a net cash position, the situation becomes completely different. You need to look at alternative ways to get a better return on your cash, such as supply chain financing or dynamic discounting. This requires a close alignment with your procurement department.  If your cash position remains structurally high and there are no major investment plans in the future, I would recommend to consider paying out the cash to the shareholders: “Fat capitalisation is not the closes friend of active working capital management”.

5. Fraud & cybersecurity

The only solution for both banks and corporates is to take a holistic approach to fraud as any weakness opens the door for fraud. There are simple ways to reduce this risk by putting in place strong internal controls including the segregation of duties, the dual approval for payment and other transactions, the defined list of beneficiaries and a clear policy in this area.
Durin the last year there have been many cyberattacks in treasury, and hence it is important to put measures in place to minimise the risk of similar attacks on your own business. I recommend an increased focus on computer security (regular security updates, clear policy on downloading programmes, if possible have a separate computer for online payments with special security controls, regular change of passwords).
In addition, it is important to invest in procedures and awareness raising, because cybercriminals and fraudsters almost always exploit human weakness to reach their goals. You need to ensure that the controls are embedded in the organisation

For further information, please see also the publication https://www.treasuryxl.com/news-articles/safety-of-payments/ of Lionel Pavey.

6. Regulatory changes:

 In line with the previous years, regulatory change will continue to be a major hot topic in 2017. The focus areas for 2017 will include the implementation of the PSD2 and the impact of the BEPS project (base erosion and profit shifting) launched by the G2O and OECD. Finance and treasury teams must pay an increased attention in documenting their intercompany agreements and ensuring a market conform pricing.

Conclusion:

 While the core priorities of treasurers continue to be on managing cash, liquidity, and risk effectively, they will have to cope an increased volatility of the markets, increased regulations and an increased risk of cyber-attacks. Technology offers opportunities to optimise your treasury management and to address these challenges more efficiently but you need also to ensure that your treasury management and controls are embedded in the organisation. Take at regular intervals time to look ahead and to make sure that you continue to travel in the right direction.

 

francois-de-witteFrançois de Witte – Senior Consultant at FDW Consult

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