March 2026 FX Forecasts
By Monex
05/03/2026
After a sharp fall to start the year, our February forecasts predicted a more subdued month for the dollar.
That has largely transpired, seeing the DXY index on track to begin March little changed from its level at the end of January. With our central thesis largely holding, we retain our call for similarly muted directional moves in the coming months too. That said, an uptick in FX volatility looks likely, given a busier roster of catalysts in the month ahead, while several key risks to our base case continue to loom on the horizon.
Authors:
Nick Rees, Head of Macro Research
Barry van der Laan, Senior FX Market Strategist
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